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Foreign
Policy
Free Trade and Foreign Wars
by Sam S. Husbands, Jr.
Mr.
Husbands of San Francisco is a member of a national investment
banking firm. He is a former Trustee and past Chairman of
the Board of The Foundation for Economic Education. This article
is included in Free
Trade: The Necessary Foundation for World Peace, edited
by Joan Kennedy Taylor, published by The Foundation for Economic
Education, 1996 (second printing).
It is
my purpose to show that though the principles of free trade
and no entangling alliances on which the nation was founded
were unique and sublime, we find that economic fallacy, misplaced
patriotism, and political compromise have combined to undermine
the legacy of those principles.
In his
first annual address to Congress in 1790, George Washington
said "Observe good faith and justice toward all nations. Cultivate
peace and harmony with all . . . The nation which indulges
toward another an habitual hatred or an habitual fondness
is in some degree a slave.
It is
a slave to its animosity or to its affection, either of which
is sufficient to lead it astray from its duty and its interest
. . . it is our true policy to steer clear of permanent alliances
with any portion of the foreign world."
In his
first inaugural address in 1801 Thomas Jefferson stated that
among his essential principles of governing would be a policy
of"peace, commerce and honest friendship with all nations&emdash;entangling
alliances with none."
And so
it was that the founding fathers understood that for free
men to remain free they must remain strong in their defense
but avoid meddling in other nations' affairs.
The test
of that resolution to remain free of foreign wars was to confront
Washington and Jefferson in [p. 196] the first years
of the Republic. A combination of events, including legislation
passed as the Merchant Marine Act of July 4, 1789 and the
acts of a quartet of Barbary powers were leading the nation
to its first experience in foreign intervention, the results
of which were as ambiguous as any of the dozen or so adventures
abroad that were to follow to this day.
The
Merchant Marine
The 1789
Merchant Marine Act instituted tariffs for revenue purposes,
but with a tariff differential of 10% on any goods shipped
in American holds. The effect in stimulating the growth of
a distinctly American Merchant Marine was startling, for in
1789 the United States was carrying 171³2% of her imports
and 30% of her exports. Within six years these numbers had
become 92% and 88%, and yearly tonnage under the American
flag had grown from 123,893 tons to 529,471 tons.
To advocates
of free trade, any reduction in tariffs is good, no tariffs
better, but the outgrowth of this selective tariff disparity
was the "American" merchant marine. The promotion and protection
of its ships and men became a patriotic duty. Just one hundred
years later, in 1881, William Graham Sumner considered the
necessity of a national merchant marine, and wrote:
If Americans
owned no ships and sailed no ships, but hired the people of
other countries to do their ocean transportation for them,
it would simply prove that Americans had some better employment
for their capital and labor. They would get transportation
as cheaply as possible. That is all they care for, and it
would be as foolish for any nation to insist on doing its
own ocean transportation, devoting to this use capital and
labor which might be otherwise more profitably employed, as
it would be for a merchant to insist on doing his own carting,
when some person engaged in carting offered him a contract
on more advantageous terms than those on which he could do
the work.
The seizure
of American merchant ships and sailors in the late 18th century
by Barbary rulers, and to a lesser extent the harassment of
American shipping by the picaroons of the West Indies, brought
humiliation to the young nation. The resulting pressure on
its political leaders led the country to embark on a program
of rapid construction of six imposing frigates, the 44-gun
"United States," "Constitution," and "President" and the 33-gun
"Constellation," "Chesapeake," and "Congress."
The construction
of these first elements of the U. S. Navy found support from
Northern ship- owning families, but only disinterest or even
animosity from most Southerners, who were not as concerned
about what flag flew over the ship that took [p. 197]
their cotton to English and Continental mills.
The legitimate
defense of the territory of the United States may have been
a beneficiary of the emergence of the U. S. Navy, but the
immediate stimulus to the construction of warships seems to
have been the urgency to protect American civil shipping in
far off corners of the world. The early adoption of a far-flung
policing function for the U. S. government was a precedent
which allowed later interventions abroad to come about with
less controversy.
The
Barbary Wars
The Barbary'
Wars were to last from 1800 to 1815, at a cost of hundreds
of lives and millions of dollars for, at first, tribute and
ransom, followed by the expense of construction of ships and
naval operations in the Mediterranean. However, direct military
intervention is only the most observable of the many ways
in which we as a nation became "slaves to habitual hatred
or fondness" for the people of other nations.
Were man
perfectible the concept of nationhood might be obsolete. In
the absence of that perfectibility, the nation state is likely
to survive though I should hope as only a shadow of its present
size. Man's institutions, like man himself, are imperfect,
and must be vigilantly watched lest they assume unintended
roles. When acts are made in the name of the state which are
contemptuous of liberty and the good sense of market economics,
and which may in fact lead toward war, they must be exposed
for the menace they may present to the Republic.
Rhodes
Boyson, Britain's Minister of Education, has likened man to
a three-legged stool, one leg being moral or religious, one
economic and one tribal. Dark deeds have been done in the
name of each of these aspects of man's character, but in this
century the tribal and economic elements have dominated man's
actions, at least in the West. Economic fallacy teamed with
rampant nationalism and without moral balance has proved to
be a terribly costly affair in lives lost, economic deprivation
and cultural undermining.
And so
it is that military conflict stems not only from such obvious
causes as pure territorial aggrandizement and gratification
of monumental egos, but often from a military extension of
economic fallacies. Economic nationalism is invariably a partner
of military intervention.
Some of
the fallacies and interventions that always accompany them,
include notions of the necessity for:
(1) A
favorable balance of trade.
(2) The
protection of domestic industry.
A few
of the interventions that logically proceed from these fallacies
include protective tariffs, import [p. 198] quotas,
domestic subsidies, antidumping laws, and currency controls.
Underlying
all of these interventions is the notion that government through
fiat actions can cause beneficial outcomes without offsetting
costs. One does not have to be the complete cynic to suggest
that what might be argued on the theoretical level in economic
terms comes down in fact to a political formula: Can one group
of voters be satisfied through a visible hand-out while another
group of voters, affected adversely, and often unknowingly,
by interventionist legislation, be mollified through dissembling
and obfuscation?
One of
the textbook excuses for tariffs has been that they were necessary
to protect infant industry. Now that has been modified so
that we are led to believe we must also protect mature, ailing
industry. In fact, it is only with free trade that entrepreneurs
are encouraged and noncompetitive enterprises are culled out,
and these are two sides of a vigorous, productive and free
economy.
There
are then the laws which reinforce the notion that exports
are better than imports, known as a "favorable" balance of
trade. Bastiat, the 19th-century French economist, took the
favorable balance of trade argument to its logical end, and
suggested that were such a thing so desirable, the custom
agents should record the export of French silks to Britain
and hope the ships will founder, since the result would be
a recording of, say, 1,000,000 francs as an export and no
offsetting import, since the silk manufacturer has received
no payment with which to purchase British goods. The result
would be a favorable balance of trade, but we needn't envy
France for having achieved that goal.
Balance
of Payments and Balance of Trade
Balance
of payments refers to the accounting between nations of all
goods, services and financial transfers. On a pure gold standard
or pure flexible exchange rate basis, balance of payments
tend to balance on a regular basis. Balance of trade is this
figure less "invisibles" or cash transfers.
Jacques
Rueff demonstrated in his book Balance of Payments that France
had an "unfavorable" balance of trade with Germany for over
50 years from 1870-1933, with the exception of the four years
after the Franco-Prussian War, when France was making reparation
payments to Germany. Again, the act which causes the "favorable"
balance of trade is obviously not in the interest of French
citizens at large, but may only favor certain special interests.
The reason for the long period of French-Prussian balance
of payments situation was, of course, the [p. 199]
result of the dominant French investments in Germany.
This necessitated
a French "unfavorable" balance of trade in order to offset
intangibles such as dividends and interest accruing from French
investments in Germany.
Milton
Friedman has made the observation that the most favorable
situation that could visit a people would be that in which
we send dollar bills to Japan in exchange for automobiles,
and the exchange ends there. If Japan were a willing partner
to that transaction we could all retire. The absurdity is
obvious.
Extending
the Logic
What difference,
in moral or economic terms, is there between a New Yorker
buying an automobile built in California by a naturalized
Japanese-American or an automobile built in Yokohama by a
Japanese national? Yes, one is American and the other Japanese,
but if that argument has merit why not extend it backward
and suggest that no New Yorker buy anything not made in New
York, or extend it even further, and suggest that it would
be in the interest of the denizens of Manhattan to buy no
item not made on the island. One thing, for sure, there wouldn't
be much to eat, certainly no bananas.
Unfortunately,
the Constitutional prohibitions against tariffs did not extend
to international trade.
One often
hears that free trade is fine, but not unfair trade, that
being defined variously as everything from foreign government
subsidy of exports to foreign workers receiving relatively
lower wages. "Dumping," a useful pejorative, is generally
considered the extreme variant of un fair trade. Dumping refers
to goods being sold in this country at a price below which
they are sold in the country of origin. I daresay the network
news commentators would look with favor on an announcement
by the British government that it was going to give away 10,000
Rolls Royces to a random group of lucky American citizens,
in gratitude for American help in World War II.
It is
highly unlikely that even the American automobile industry
could rally much of a boycott against such an act, though
it would remove those 10,000 individuals as potential customers
for Detroit autos. There is no economic difference between
such a daft proposal and that act of constructing and operating
the Concorde supersonic aircraft, with losses made up each
day by French and British taxpayers. Each traveler on the
Concorde could consider the advantageous speed the aircraft
offers as a partial gift by those taxpayers. However, the
United States should have a difficult time working up much
of a lather over foreign government subsidies for their businesses
when we have such institutions [p. 200] as the Export-Import
Bank, agriculture subsidies and Federal insurance on foreign
investment.
Tariffs
for Protection
U. S.
tariffs were primarily a revenue-raising device prior to the
Civil War. The first tariff passed in 1789 raised half of
the nation's fiscal needs, and by 1808 duties were providing
twice the federal government's expenditures. By 1816 tariffs
were becoming specifically protective and by the 1970s when
revenues from duties only totaled 10% or so of the budget,
their nature had evolved almost purely into protectionist
devices.
Historically,
Republicans have been defenders of high duties, Democrats
lower duties. At the moment, sympathy for protectionist tariffs
seems to be a bi-partisan affair. As mentioned earlier, protectionist
tariffs have always been introduced on the ground that a particular
industry is threatened by foreign competition. For the sake
of jobs and the long-term future of the country, imports,
under this persuasion, must be selectively restricted. What
those advocates fail to point out is that for everyone who
benefits from tariffs there are others, perhaps less observable,
who are being economically punished.
The recently
passed quotas on the importations of steel, at the behest
of domestic steel management and labor leaders, have received
nothing but plaudits by the favorably affected industries
and the media, though often couched in terms such as "the
act is too little or too late." One would have to seek out
journals of economic opinion, and selective ones at that,
to find mention of those who suffer as a consequence of those
import quotas.
Currency
restrictions and pegged exchange rates are put in place to
cover up governmental overspending and inflation, and to exert
control over citizens in their attempts to make voluntary
transactions with others or to avoid government's confiscation
of their accumulated wealth. It is a delaying tactic; no matter
how severe the penalty, if the free market exchange ratio
of two currencies is different from that dictated by government,
the pegged price will be undermined by market forces resulting
in sudden and catastrophic devaluation. U. S. laws to make
it a felony to move more than $5,000 in or out of the country
without reporting it only reinforce those who see it their
business to run others' lives.
However,
the most melancholy of all these false economic persuasions
is autarky or National Economic Independence. What inevitably
follows the embracing of this concept is the implied or real
expansion of national borders with consequent recourse to
military action. One of the major differences that divided
[p. 201]
Hitler
and his finance minister, Hjalmar Schacht, was over this concept
of economic independence. How unsettling when we have words
from Wall Street to Washington that sound so familiarly like
those of Hitler when he suggested the necessity for economic
mobilization "comparable to the military and political mobilization."
The
Pattern of Controls
Though
the imposition of Wage and Price controls in 1971 was done
in the name of controlling inflation, those controls remaining
on oil and gas caused the government to begin to intervene
in the classic manner of politicians anywhere who believe
in the economic and political benefit of autarky.
The United
States is widely regarded as the marginal factor in world
production and consumption of oil. The steps that follow essentially
led this country to place a floor under the price of oil not
a ceiling over the price of oil as the Department of Energy
bureaucracy would have led us to believe.
Step 1.
1971&emdash;Wage and Price controls instituted.
Step 2.
Most controls removed in 1973 but kept on oil and gas.
Step 3.
OPEC raises prices drastically.
Step 4.
We counter, irrational]y, with the "entitlements" scheme
encouraging imports, and price controls, discouraging domestic
production.
Step 5.
We don the national hair shirt of a contrived energy crisis
and directly intervene in the auto industry through mileage
requirements and 55 m.p.h, speed limit.
Step 6.
This forced draft downsizing causes extraordinary capital
expenditures and dislocations in the American automobile industry.
Step 7.
Japanese and German auto manufacturers find themselves in
the fortuitous position of manufacturing automobiles that
are now perfect for the American market, this having come
about because of their own governments over the years imposing
three times the taxes on gaso line as in the U.S.
Step 8.
The U. S. government urging National Energy Independence through
subsidy and tax break, resulting in unnecessary and uneconomic
allocation of capital to "alternate" fuel sources.
Step 9.
All of this resulting in a disabling of the domestic automobile
and steel industries and immeasurable costs to all the Western
world.
One frequently
hears that our presence in the Middle East is necessary to
protect "our" oil. The implication is that in our absence,
the oil would necessarily fall into unfriendly hands and those
parties would then embargo exports to the United States. Ironically,
Business [p. 202] Week reports on November 8, 1982,
that "Standard Oil of California and Texaco are reportedly
trying to minimize their take of Saudi oil in favor of cheaper
Russian and Mexican oil." In fact, another "lubricant," ball
bearings, owes its existence to the importation of chromium
ore. Ninety per cent of what is used in this country comes
from abroad, the Soviet Union being one of the largest suppliers.
Does our
dependence on importation of chromium or other exotic minerals
require government's intervention to insure supplies? I would
suggest quite the contrary, for it is the reliance on the
market place and individual initiative which will insure our
supplies. As Hans Lands-berg, Senior Fellow at Resources for
the Future, says in a Forbes article of November 22, 1982:
"We preach belief in market forces but we abandon reliance
on them too easily."
Intervention
Policies at Home Lead to Conflict Abroad
Each step
we take to insure National Economic Independence carries us
ever closer to military conflict. Our Middle Eastern commitments
have now grown to the point that troop strength assigned to
the Rapid Deployment Force is 230,000 soldiers, sailors and
marines, that number to double in coming months. Its assigned
area of operations will cover 20 countries in the Middle East,
excluding Israel. The force, it is reported, will take on
responsibility with the objective of strengthening friendly
nations politically and militarily. How far removed that notion
is from those admonishments of George Washington at the founding
of the Republic!
A logical
step that follows the notion of economic independence is the
use of sanctions and embargoes. It is with these acts that
we skate close to the pitfall of war. The problem is that
sanctions by definition inhibit the market and precipitate
reactions from perceived or real enemies which may have been
unnecessary in their absence.
Pinpointing
the root cause of any war is precarious. A colleague noticed
some graffiti in San Francisco around Columbus Day which said:
"World War III started when Columbus took away the land from
the Indians." Of course, using that logic, the apple would
be at the core of all our problems. One can, nonetheless,
wonder whether the oil and steel embargo of Japan and the
resulting fall of the Konoye government in October, 1941 did
not in turn lead to the controversial exchange of the Greater
East Asia Co-Prosperity Sphere for Communist hegemony throughout
a major part of the Far East. The resultant loss of lives
made the earlier Rape of Nanking appear an almost minor tragedy
of this tragic century. [p. 203]
Steps
for Survival
But what
steps should the United States take to insure its survival
in what can be a most unfriendly world?
It first
must insure its priorities are right from the perspective
of its uniqueness as a liberty loving, free market, limited
government example to the world. Free trade is an inherent
part of that profile. The maintenance of the military necessary
to defend the country from aggressive acts can only be consistent
with the American ideal of choice if it is maintained by voluntary
enlist ment. One hears much about one's obligation to make
a "fair share" contribution to causes. There is a rule of
thumb that in voluntary associations, 20% of the members contribute
80% of the time and money necessary to keep the effort going.
Any notion that even with a draft there is an even sharing
of responsibility for the defense of the country falls in
the face of the evidence that few soldiers in any war are
in line operations, and one study shows that fewer than 50%
of those actually fire at the enemy.
Ronald
Reagan said in a letter to Senator Mark Hatfield on May 5,
1980 that "draft registration may actually decrease our military
preparedness, by making people think we have solved our defense
problems when we have not . . . . But perhaps the most fundamental
objection to draft registration is moral. Only in the most
severe national emergency does the government have the claim
to the mandatory service of its young people. In any other
time, a draft or draft registration destroys the very values
that our society is committed to defend."
Milton
Friedman in a debate with a U. S. general at Stanford University
defended the pro-volunteer Army position. The General scoffed
that he did not want to be defended by "an army of mercenaries."
"Would you rather," Friedman replied, "be defended by an army
of slaves?"
With the
exception of President Reagan's implication that there might
be emergencies in which the draft was desirable, I would otherwise
agree with both in abhorrence of the use of force to conscript
people to defend the country.
Defensible
Action
The full-time
job is the nourishment of the precepts of liberty at home
and noninterference with other nations' affairs abroad. There
will always be good men and women who will come to the defense
of such an arrangement.
If foreign
intervention tends to erode domestic liberty&emdash;as I would
contend&emdash;there may still be instances where American
citizens wish to put in with others they perceive to be suffering.
The repeal of the legal inhibitions, including the Logan Act,
preventing individuals [p. 204] from aiding those
in other nations would expand free choice with no perceived
risk to a nation bent on limiting its government's role.
Obviously,
it is the understanding of and the willingness to stand by
the principles of free choice which underlie the maintenance
of a free society. What could be better than a rereading by
veterans of free market theory or a first reading by a novice
of Bastiat's works, or Henry Hazlitt's Economics In One
Lesson or Leonard Read's "Conscience on the Battlefield"
to make certain the argument on behalf of freedom remains
articulate and principled?
Above
all else it is vital that if the case for liberty is to prevail,
the dangers of war posed by imposition of foolish economic
theories be recognized and free exchange be applied to international
as well as domestic trade. The saying is as true today as
it was a century ago, "If goods do not cross borders, soldiers
will."?
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